Dataset Card for "LeadForge Lead Scoring v1 — Intermediate"

B2B Lead Scoring Dataset — Intermediate Tier

This is a synthetic dataset for practicing B2B lead scoring. It was generated by leadforge, an open-source Python framework for producing realistic CRM/funnel training data. No real company, customer, or transaction is represented.

What you are predicting: Each row is a sales lead at a fictional B2B SaaS company. The task is binary classification:

converted_within_90_days — did this lead close as a paid deal within 90 days?

Features capture the first 30 days of CRM activity per lead (email/call touches, product sessions, deal stage, account firmographics). The label is derived from simulated events — never directly sampled — so there is genuine causal structure behind the signal.

This tier: intermediate

The intermediate tier is the default benchmark. Conversion rate is ~22% — more realistic for B2B SaaS than the intro tier — and noise is moderate enough that simple feature engineering starts to matter. GBM does not consistently beat logistic regression here (the snapshot is dominated by near-linear features); that gap is worth investigating. Calibration becomes important at this prevalence — a model that predicts the right rank order can still be badly miscalibrated.

This dataset ships in three tiers — intro → intermediate → advanced — with decreasing signal, lower conversion rates, and heavier noise and missingness. All three tiers share the same schema and simulate the same fictional B2B world.

Table inventory

Snapshot-safe: event tables contain only rows with timestamps ≤ 30 days from lead creation. Outcome columns (converted_within_90_days, conversion_timestamp, close_outcome) are excluded from the public relational tables — they appear only in the task splits.

Features

⚠ Intentional leakage trap: total_touches_all aggregates touches over the full 90-day window (not just the 30-day feature window) and is deliberately retained as a leakage-detection teaching exercise. It is flagged leakage_risk=True in feature_dictionary.csv. Drop it from your feature set unless you are studying leakage.

See feature_dictionary.csv for the full column-by-column specification.

The simulated world

The dataset simulates a fictional company — Veridian Technologies — a Series B startup (Austin, TX, founded 2017) selling Veridian Procure, a cloud procurement / AP automation SaaS. Everything below is invented:

• Target customers: 200–2,000-employee firms in the US and UK (manufacturing, logistics, healthcare, professional services)
• Deal range: $18,000–$120,000 ACV; average deal $42,000; average sales cycle 45 days
• Go-to-market: 45% inbound marketing, 35% SDR outbound, 20% partner referrals
• Buyer personas: VP Finance (economic buyer), AP Manager (champion), IT Director (technical evaluator), Procurement Manager (end user)

In this public version, the hidden causal graph, latent trait scores, and mechanism parameters are withheld. The instructor companion bundle includes them.

How to load

import pandas as pd

# Flat CSV — all leads, all splits combined (convenient for exploration)
df = pd.read_csv("lead_scoring.csv")
X = df.drop(columns=["converted_within_90_days"])
y = df["converted_within_90_days"]

# Parquet task splits — recommended for model training
train = pd.read_parquet("tasks/converted_within_90_days/train.parquet")
valid = pd.read_parquet("tasks/converted_within_90_days/valid.parquet")
test  = pd.read_parquet("tasks/converted_within_90_days/test.parquet")

# Relational tables — for feature engineering
leads   = pd.read_parquet("tables/leads.parquet")
touches = pd.read_parquet("tables/touches.parquet")

Splits are 70 / 15 / 15 (train / valid / test), stratified on the target, deterministic given seed 42.

Note on account overlap: ~93% of test-set accounts also appear in the training set (splits are keyed on lead_id). Headline AUC overstates generalisation to unseen accounts. For a faithful out-of-sample estimate, use GroupKFold(groups=df["account_id"]).

Reproducibility

Generated with leadforge v1.0.0, recipe b2b_saas_procurement_v1, seed 42, difficulty intermediate. To reproduce:

pip install leadforge
leadforge generate --recipe b2b_saas_procurement_v1 --seed 42 \
                   --mode student_public --difficulty intermediate --out my_bundle

Every file in this bundle is SHA-256 hashed in manifest.json. Run leadforge validate my_bundle to verify integrity.

Author: Shay Palachy Affek · Kaggle · GitHub

Caveats

• Synthetic data only. No real company, customer, or market is represented.
• AUC does not distinguish tiers. LR AUC is ~0.66 across all three tiers by design. The tiers differ in conversion rate (43% / 22% / 8%), noise, and missing values — not in rank discrimination. Use average precision, P@K, and calibration metrics to see the difficulty gradient.
• ~93% train/test account overlap. Splits are keyed on lead_id; most test accounts also appear in train. Headline metrics overstate generalisation to unseen accounts.
• Snapshot window. Engagement features cover days 0–30 per lead; the label resolves at day 90. total_touches_all is the intentional exception — it aggregates over the full 90-day window and is a leakage trap.
• Public version. The hidden causal graph, latent trait scores, and mechanism parameters are withheld. The instructor companion bundle includes them.

Mock release notes

Intermediate difficulty · 5,000 leads · ~22% conversion rate · LR AUC 0.662 (5-seed median)